economic dynamism – Page 7 – Author Carlo Carrasco

Philippine economy grew by 5.4% in 1st quarter of 2025

May 12, 2025May 8, 2025carlocarrasco

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announced that the economy of the Philippines grew by 5.4% in the first quarter of this year, according to a GMA Network news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of GMA Network. Some parts in boldface…

The Philippine economy expanded faster in the first three months of 2025 amid the growth seen in services, industry, and agriculture sectors, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).

The country’s gross domestic product (GDP) —the value of goods and services produced in a period— grew faster by 5.4% in the first quarter of 2025, higher than the upwardly revised growth rate of 5.3% in the last quarter of 2024, PSA chief and National Statistician Claire Dennis Mapa reported at a press conference in Quezon City on Thursday.

This was also the fastest GDP growth rate seen since the third quarter of 2024, albeit slower than the 5.9% growth recorded in the first quarter of 2024.

At constant prices, the economy reached a value of P5.477 trillion during the period, up 5.4% from P5.196-trillion GDP seen in the same quarter last year.

Department of Economy, Planning and Development Undersecretary Rosemarie Edillon said the country’s GDP needs to increase by 6.2% in the remaining quarters of 2025 to hit at least the lower-end of the. government’s growth target of 6% to 7% for the year.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines can still grow by 6% by the end of the year? Do you think election spending will add a lot to economic growth?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Proposed measure to increase tax on capital gains withdrawn by DOF

May 5, 2025April 30, 2025carlocarrasco

In recent times, the Department of Finance (DOF) has withdrawn the proposed measure on increasing taxes on capital gains pointing to certain economic factors according to a GMA Network news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of GMA News. Some parts in boldface…

The proposed measure increasing taxes on capital gains, donor’s, and estate to 10% from 6% has been withdrawn as the Department of Finance (DOF) determined that there would be “no need” for additional revenue measures, citing the government’s robust fiscal position.

In a statement, Albay 2nd District Representative and House Ways and Means chairman Joey Sarte Salceda disclosed that the DOF pulled out the Government Revenues Optimization through the Wealth Tax Harmonization (GROWTH) Bill, which proposed a hike in tax rate for capital gains, donor taxes, and estate taxes.

The bill is the Marcos administration’s tweaked version of the Passive Income and Financial Intermediary Taxation Act (PIFITA), proposed by the Duterte administration as Package 4 of its Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP).

Citing a letter from the DOF, dated April 29, Salceda said the Finance Department is withdrawing the proposed measure, citing “stronger-than-expected revenue collections, a double-digit growth rate in tax collections, and steady progress toward the government’s fiscal consolidation goals.”

In a separate statement, Finance Secretary Ralph Recto said that “given our current strong fiscal performance, these are not needed at this time.”

“The government is properly managing its finances, ensuring that public needs are met without burdening the citizenry with new taxes,” he added.

‘More than sufficient’ – In particular, the Finance chief cited the 13.55% growth in total tax collections to P931.5 billion in the first quarter of 2025.

Broken down, the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) posted P690.4 billion in collections, up 16.67% year-on-year; while the Bureau of Customs saw a 5.72% growth in collection to P231.4 billion during the same period.

“At this point, current revenues are more than sufficient to support our expenditure requirements. We are meeting our obligations, funding key programs, and growing the economy without having to impose new taxes on our kababayan,” Recto said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think it was just right for the DOF to withdraw the measure? Do you thinking hiking capital gains tax, donor taxes and estate taxes are needed to ensure economic growth for the Philippines?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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ANZ Research says Philippine economic growth for 2025 could slow down to 5%

May 2, 2025April 28, 2025carlocarrasco

By pointing to the trade policies of the United States and weak private spending, ANZ Research says that the economic growth of the Philippines for 2025 could slow down to 5%, according to a BusinessWorld news report. ANZ also downgraded its growth forecasts for many other Asian economies.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

PHILIPPINE economic growth is expected to slow to 5% this year due to the fallout from the Trump administration’s trade policy and weak private spending, ANZ Research said.

In its latest Asia Insight report, ANZ cut its gross domestic product (GDP) forecast for the Philippines to 5% this year from 5.7% previously. It also lowered its 2026 GDP projection to 5.5% from 6% previously.

Both forecasts would fall short of the 6-8% growth target set by the Development Budget Coordination Committee from this year to the next.

“Our new forecasts incorporate our expectations of direct and indirect impact of tariffs, bilateral trade agreements between the US and individual economies, revised growth estimates for mainland China and the US and potential policy response,” ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur said.

The downward revisions constitute a “durable shock to regional growth as US tariffs imply a long-term reduction in global trade,” he added.

President Donald J. Trump slapped reciprocal tariffs on most of its trading partners earlier this month but suspended these higher tariffs for 90 days. Only the baseline 10% tariff remains in effect.

The Philippines was hit with a 17% reciprocal tariff, though this was the second lowest in Southeast Asia, just after Singapore.

“It is likely that some Asian economies will negotiate down or even do away with the April 2 reciprocal tariffs owing to the potential damage to US growth,” Mr. Mathur said. “Even so, the uncertainty around US trade policies will constrain business activity, including hiring and investment.”

ANZ slashed its growth projection for Asia, excluding China and India, to 2.9% this year from 3.4% previously. It also trimmed its 2026 forecast to 3.3% from 3.5% previously.

ANZ also downgraded its GDP projections for all countries it covers, namely India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, South Korea and Vietnam.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the Philippines will be able to negotiate with the United States on tariff and trade matters soon?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Philippines unemployment rate down in February 2025

April 14, 2025April 9, 2025carlocarrasco

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) revealed recently that the unemployment rate of the Philippines fell down to 3.8% this past February from 4.3% the previous month, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the report of the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

The country’s unemployment rate fell to its lowest level in three months, data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed.

In a briefing on Tuesday, National Statistician Dennis Mapa said preliminary results of the latest Labor Force Survey showed that the unemployment rate further declined to 3.8 percent in February this year from 4.3 percent the previous month. It was the lowest rate since the 3.1 percent recorded in December last year.

Mapa said the number of unemployed Filipinos declined to 1.94 million from 2.16 million in January this year.

Employment rate on the other hand, rose to 96.2 percent in February this year from 95.7 percent the previous month.

Mapa said the number of employed Filipinos went up to 49.15 million, higher than the 48.49 million and 48.95 million recorded in January this year and in February 2024, respectively.

Industries which recorded the largest increase in employment include accommodation and food service (+377,000), fishing and aquaculture (+365,000), public administration and defense (+330,000), construction (+258,000), and other service activities (+232,000).

Mapa said preparations for the midterm elections and summer holidays helped increase employment in accommodation and food service and other service activities.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think there will be more than enough job opportunities for the unemployed throughout the year? Do you think the Philippine economy will grow strongly to sustain new job creation until the end of 2025?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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PEZA investment pledges jump 249% in January-March 2025

April 8, 2025April 2, 2025carlocarrasco

The Philippines is enjoying a surge of investment pledges in the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA) with a 249% jump in the first quarter of 2025, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article. The surge is expected to create many new jobs.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the report of the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

Investment pledges in the Philippine Economic Zone Authority from January to March 2025 hit PHP58.95 billion, 249 percent higher than the PHP13.95 billion project registrations in the same period in 2024.

PEZA reported Wednesday that the pledges came from 66 projects that registered with the investment promotion agency (IPA) in the first quarter of the year.

These new and expansion projects are expected to generate 15,815 direct jobs and contribute an additional USD497.46 million to export revenues.

“PEZA’s continued upward trajectory reflects our strong commitment towards investment promotion and facilitation, coupled with our most generous fiscal incentives under the CREATE MORE, and the other advantages placing the Philippines in a sweet spot for economic growth and development,” PEZA Director General Tereso Panga said.

“PEZA continues to play a vital role in advancing the country’s economic resilience through sustained job creation, increased exports, and enhanced investment attraction,” he added.

Twenty-four projects that were registered with PEZA in Q1 2025 are manufacturing activities and another 24 are in information technology and business process management.

Ecozone development and domestic enterprises got seven projects each, while utilities and facilities activities registered two projects each.

A big chunk of PEZA-approved investment in Q1 2025 are for Calabarzon (32 projects), followed by National Capital Region (12), Central Luzon (eight), Central Visayas (eight), Davao Region (two), Ilocos Region (two), Northern Mindanao (one), and Western Visayas (one).

To date, PEZA approved PHP49.81 billion worth of big-ticket projects, or those with investments exceeding PHP1 billion.

For March alone, the PEZA board approved 27 projects with total investments of PHP6.01 billion.

Two big-ticket projects were also approved last month with aggregate pledges of PHP2.62 billion for a water treatment facility in Batangas and a coconut milk manufacturing facility in Misamis Oriental.

“We are bullish that we will sustain this upward trajectory coming into the 2nd quarter of the year as we intensify our investment promotion initiatives partnered with the CREATE MORE incentives, the most generous fiscal incentives among ASEAN to date,” Panga said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the strong surge of investments in PEZA will continue to last throughout the year? Do you think the Philippine economy will grow beyond 6% this year?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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IRR of Value-Added Tax (VAT) refund for foreign tourists signed

April 1, 2025March 25, 2025carlocarrasco

Recently the Philippines officially became a VAT-free destination for foreign tourists as the implementing rules and regulations (IRR) of Republic Act 12079 (Value-Added Tax Refund for Non-Resident Tourists) has been signed, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article. It should be noted that the Republic Act was signed into law last December.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

Government officials signed on Monday the implementing rules and regulations (IRR) of Republic Act (RA) 12079 or the Value-Added Tax (VAT) Refund for Non-Resident Tourists.

In a statement, the Department of Finance (DOF) said the IRR was signed by Secretary Ralph Recto, Bureau of Customs Commissioner Bienvenido Rubio and Bureau of Internal Revenue Deputy Commissioner Marissa Cabreros.

It was witnessed by Department of Tourism Secretary Christina Garcia-Frasco and Office of the Special Assistant to the President for Investment and Economic Affairs Secretary Frederick Go.

RA 12079 aims to boost tourism and encourage more foreign tourists to shop and spend more in the Philippines, thereby bolstering economic growth.

Under the IRR, non-resident tourists or foreign passport holders may apply for a VAT refund for locally purchased goods from accredited stores that are equivalent to at least PHP3,000.

The goods must be physically taken out of the Philippines by the tourist as accompanied baggage within 60 days from the date of purchase.

The VAT refund applies only to retail and tangible goods, such as clothing, apparel, electronics, gadgets, jewelry, accessories, souvenirs, food or non-food consumables, and other goods intended for personal use.

“With a multiplier effect of 1.97, every 100 pesos spent by a tourist generates 197 pesos in economic output. Imagine that. Halos doble ang balik sa ekonomiya (The return to the economy is almost double),” Recto said.

“And more money spent by foreign tourists means more businesses created, more Filipino workers hired, more jobs provided, higher incomes for our people and more revenues for the government to collect. That’s the simple formula for growth,” he added.

Recto cited the importance of effective executive to unlock the law’s full potential.

He said the country must establish a fully functional VAT refund system and a surge in inbound tourism.

“We want more tourists to come — and we want them to stay longer, spend bigger, and transact with convenience,” he said.

Heeding President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr.’s call, Recto vowed to ensure that the VAT refund process is simple, accessible and culturally inclusive.

“From our end at the Department of Finance, we aim to deliver a VAT refund system that is world-class, modern, and built on the principles of transparency, efficiency and ease,” he said.

The IRR mandates the DOF to engage the services of reputable and internationally recognized VAT refund operators to provide end-to-end solutions to the government. Such refunds may be made electronically or in cash to enhance the ease of doing business.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Now the IRR of the VAT refund for foreign tourists has officially been signed, do you expect positive impact on Philippine tourism to happen this year? Do you think a lot of tourists overseas have been waiting for the Philippines to establish the VAT refund for foreign tourists?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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BSP says inflation could accelerate in the 2nd half of 2025

March 27, 2025March 18, 2025carlocarrasco

In its monetary report recently released, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) stated that inflation could exceed the 2% to 4% target in the 2^nd of half of this year mainly pointing to base effects from easing commodity price pressures, according to a BusinessWorld news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld report. Some parts in boldface…

THE BANGKO SENTRAL ng Pilipinas (BSP) said inflation could overshoot the 2-4% target range in the second half of this year amid base effects.

In its latest Monetary Policy report, the central bank said annual inflation is likely to settle within the 2-4% target band from this year to 2026 amid declining rice prices.

“However, inflation could exceed the target range in the latter part of 2025, primarily due to base effects from easing commodity price pressures in the corresponding period of 2024,” it said.

“Inflation is then projected to move closer to the midpoint of the target range in 2026, supported by an expected moderation in global commodity prices,” it added.

The BSP’s baseline forecasts for inflation are at 3.5% for 2025 to 2026. Accounting for risks, inflation could reach 3.7% in 2026.

In February, the consumer price index (CPI) sharply slowed to 2.1%, bringing headline inflation to 2.5% in the first two months.

For this year, inflationary pressures could come from “higher global oil and non-oil prices, peso depreciation, and recent above-expectation inflation readings,” the BSP said.

However, inflation could breach the 2-4% target range if crude oil prices rise, it said.

BSP estimates show that if crude oil prices average above $100 per barrel, inflation could hit 4.1% this year and 4.8% next year.

Based on the latest Development Budget Coordination Committee macroeconomic assumptions, Dubai crude oil is seen to range from $60 to $80 per barrel this year.

However, the BSP reiterated that risks to the inflation outlook have remained “broadly balanced.”

“Upside risks include potential increases in electricity rates, transport charges, and pork prices,” it said.

According to the BSP’s risk matrix, there is a high probability for a rise in pork prices and a low probability for elevated transport and electricity costs.

“Conversely, the main downside risk stems from the spillover effects of lower tariffs on imported rice to domestic rice prices.”

Rice inflation further decreased to 4.9% in February from the 2.3% drop in January. This was the lowest rice inflation print since the 5.7% contraction in April 2020.

Rice prices are seen to decline further after the Agriculture department declared a food security emergency on rice, as well as lowered the maximum suggested retail price of 5% broken imported rice.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the inflation in the Philippines will accelerate in the 2^nd half of this year? If you are running a business, how far can you go when it comes to maintaining the current prices of your good and services when inflation kicks in?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Finance Secretary confident with 6% Philippine economic growth this year

March 27, 2025March 19, 2025carlocarrasco

Recently, Finance Secretary Ralph Recto expressed during an interview with Bloomberg TV that the Philippine economy will grow by at least 6% this year and mentioned factors like continued infrastructure spending, low unemployment, the cutting of interest rates and more, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

Finance Secretary Ralph Recto said he is confident that Philippine economic growth would hit at least 6 percent this year.

In an interview with Bloomberg TV on Wednesday, Recto said he is banking on more interest rate cuts, infrastructure spending, and election-related spending to boost economic growth.

“We’re pretty confident that we would hit at least a 6 percent growth. The World Bank, the IMF (International Monetary Fund), and many other institutions are saying that we’re on track to 6 percent. Our macroeconomic fundamentals are very good,” said Recto.

“Unemployment is down. The middle class is growing. We’re investing more than 5 percent of GDP (gross domestic product) in infrastructure. We have elections also right now, and during elections, there’s more spending, so we’re pretty confident we hit at the very least 6 percent this year.

He said with inflation settling within the government’s 2 percent to 4 percent target range, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has room to further reduce policy rates, which in turn, would boost consumer spending.

“Equally important, I suppose, is the reduction of interest rates. It would appear that, because inflation has been controlled in the Philippines and the inflation today is something like 2.5 percent, there is room for a rate cut in our next (meeting) so we’re in an easing cycle. It’s a high probability that we could do a rate cut also for in our next meeting,” he said.

The Monetary Board of the BSP has so far cut rates by 75 basis points last year. Recto said he is hoping that the BSP Monetary Board would deliver a 50 to 75 basis point cut this year.

“Hopefully, at the minimum 50 and probably 75 basis points, for the year that will help propel growth, consumption, and investments moving forward,” he said, adding that the rate cuts would boost economic growth by at least half a percent.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will grow by at least 6% by the end of this year? Do you think Recto’s interview will convince foreign investors to invest in the Philippines this year?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Michelin opens new office in Alabang

March 22, 2025March 20, 2025carlocarrasco

The French multinational tire manufacturing company Michelin very recently opened a new office in Filinvest City in Alabang to provide service and support to its customers, according to a GMA Network news report. This development added business credibility to the corporate city of Filinvest and Muntinlupa City in general. The Michelin Alabang office is in the Polaris Building.

To put things in perspective, posted below is the excerpt from the news report of GMA Network. Some parts in boldface…

Michelin on Thursday announced the opening of its new official office in the Philippines, which will focus on strengthening the brand in the Philippines, and invest in local talents moving forward.

The new office — located in the Polaris Building, Filinvest Corporate City, Alabang in Muntinlupa City — will serve as a hub for enhanced customer engagement and support, to reflect its “dedication to the growing Filipino market.”

“We are excited to open our new office in the Philippines. We recognize the country’s strong market potential, and this move enables us to reinforce our partnerships, enhance customer support, and further establish Michelin as the preferred choice for mobility solutions in the region,” Michelin Asia Pacific (Singapore) Philippines Branch Office managing director Jonathan Khong said.

According to Michelin, the new office will strengthen collaboration with local partners, provide them with better resources, tools, and expertise to enhance their business operations, and boost the Michelin brand in the country.

The opening of the new office also “reflects Michelin’s continued dedication” to the Philippines, and will strengthen sales and after-sales services through support to partners, and investment in developing local talents.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? If you are a resident of Muntinlupa, do you feel confident that the presence of Michelin in Alabang will add a lot to the economic dynamism of the city? Do you know a lot of Michelin customers living in Muntinlupa and in nearby cities? Do you think Michelin’s presence in the city will convince other international businesses to set up new offices or service centers in Filinvest City in the near future?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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2024 FDI net inflow into Philippines reaches $8.93 billion

March 21, 2025March 12, 2025carlocarrasco

Foreign direct investments (FDI) that flowed into the Philippines reached $8.93 billion in 2024 which is a tiny improvement over the previous year, according to a BusinessWorld news report. The result was below the target for 2024 set by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld report. Some parts in boldface…

NET INFLOWS of foreign direct investments (FDI) into the Philippines inched up by just 0.1% in 2024 but plunged in December to its lowest monthly tally in 11 years, amid uncertainty in global trade, data from the central bank showed.

Preliminary data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed FDI net inflows edged higher to $8.93 billion in 2024 from $8.925 billion in 2023, ending two straight years of declining inflows.

The 2024 FDI tally was also the highest in two years but below the BSP’s forecast of $9 billion.

Investments in equity and investment fund shares rose by 13.1% to $2.7 billion in 2024 from $2.39 billion in 2023.

Net foreign investments in equity capital climbed by 42.4% to $1.54 billion last year from $1.08 billion in 2023. Placements increased by 4.3% to $2.17 billion, while withdrawals fell by 37.1% to $628 million.

BSP data showed these placements mainly came from Japan (38%), the United Kingdom (35%), the United States (10%), and Singapore (8%).

Investments were mostly channeled into manufacturing (68%), followed by real estate (12%), and information and communication (5%) industries.

Meanwhile, net investments in debt instruments stood at $6.23 billion, down by 4.7% from $6.53 billion in 2023. Reinvestment of earnings likewise declined by 11.2% to $1.17 billion from $1.31 billion.

DECEMBER SLUMP – In December alone, FDI net inflows plunged by 85.2% to $110 million from $743 million in the same month in 2023. Month on month, inflows likewise fell by 88% from $922 million.

December saw the lowest FDI net inflow in 11 years or since the $102.16 million recorded in December 2013.

“While nonresidents’ net equity capital investments rose, FDI declined due to increased debt repayments by resident corporations to their nonresident direct investors,” the BSP said.

The higher debt repayments brought net investments in debt instruments to an outflow of $19 million in December, a reversal of the $618-million inflow in the same month in 2023.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the Philippines can do more to attract more foreign direct investments this year? Do you think the FDI of 2024 will result in new businesses and new jobs all over the Philippines this year?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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