economic dynamism – Page 14 – Author Carlo Carrasco

Philippines targets economic growth of 6.5% to 7.5% for 2024

January 25, 2024January 18, 2024carlocarrasco

Even though there are still uncertainties ahead, the national authorities here in the Philippines forecast economic growth of 6.5% to 7.5% this year, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news article of the PNA. Some parts in boldface…

The government is sticking to its gross domestic product (GDP) target of 6.5 to 7.5 percent for 2024 despite many organizations forecasting the economic expansion this year will miss the administration’s goal.

National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Undersecretary Rosemarie Edillon on Wednesday said the government has remained optimistic about achieving its target GDP growth for 2024.

“Of course, it’s a target. So, theirs is a forecast, meaning they are looking at what has been the trajectory before. But in our case, we have drivers for growth that we are pushing for,” Edillon told reporters on the sidelines of a joint economic briefing of foreign chambers in Makati City.

Among these sectors that would support economic expansion are international tourism, the Build Better More program of the administration, and the mass housing projects under the Pambansang Pabahay Para sa Pilipino or the 4PH Program.

“Then that will be a big factor actually in accelerating the growth,” she said.

Most of the forecasts of multilateral organizations and banks on Philippine GDP this year were below the government’s target.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think that the economy of the Philippines has enough momentum to grow at least 6.5% this year? What do you think will become the biggest obstacle for the Philippine economy with regards to external or overseas developments?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @HavenorFantasy as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

First Metro Investment Corp. and University of Asia and the Pacific expect Philippine economy will grow by 6% this year

January 19, 2024January 13, 2024carlocarrasco

Recently, First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) and the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) expressed expectation that the economy of the Philippines will achieve 6% growth for the year 2024, according to a BusinessWorld news article.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news article. Some parts in boldface…

THE PHILIPPINES’ gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to grow faster this year as easing inflation will help boost “revenge spending,” analysts said.

First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) and the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) said they expect GDP growth at 6% this year, still below the government’s 6.5-7.6% target.

“I think they will not be able to make the 6.5% unless foreign investments come in. And so far, if we look at 2023, foreign investments were actually down significantly… but we have to see how things pan out in the coming months,” Victor A. Abola, an economist at UA&P, said at a briefing in Makati City on Thursday.

FMIC and UA&P projected full-year GDP to average 5.5% in 2023, still below the government’s 6-7%. The economy grew by 5.5% in the nine-month period.

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) is set to release full-year 2023 GDP data on Jan. 31.

“Growth will accelerate from 5.5% (in 2023) to 6% (in 2024), driven by the services sector, particularly, transport, accommodations, and food services, which are experiencing revenge spending,” Mr. Abola said.

Filipino consumers are expected to continue to splurge this year, which will help drive growth.

“We’re just seeing the beginning of (revenge spending) because high inflation has sort of toned down that expansion. So, I think that we’ll see faster GDP growth in 2024,” Mr. Abola said.

Improved employment will also boost the economy this year, Mr. Abola said, citing the record low jobless rate seen in November.

The country’s unemployment rate fell to 3.6% in November from 4.2% in the previous month and a year ago, marking an 18-year low. In November, the number of employed people also rose to 49.64 million from 47.8 million in October and 49.7 million in November 2022.

FMIC Executive Vice-President Daniel D. Camacho said the BSP will likely keep rates steady for the first half.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think internal and external economic factors will somehow become favorable for the Philippines and allow better economic growth along the way? Do you think there is too much attention paid on so-called revenge spending?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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World Bank sees Philippine economy growing at 5.8% this year

January 18, 2024January 11, 2024carlocarrasco

While local economic managers predict the Philippine economy growing between 6.5% to 7.5% this year, the World Bank (WB) itself forecasts a 5.8% growth for 2024, according to a BusinessWorld news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news report. Some parts in boldface…

THE WORLD BANK (WB) expects the Philippines to be among the fastest-growing economies in Southeast Asia this year.

In its latest Global Economic Prospects, the multilateral lender projected Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) to expand by 5.8% in 2024, same as its forecast in December.

The Philippine growth projection is the fastest among Southeast Asian economies, tied with Cambodia (5.8%), and ahead of Vietnam (5.5%), Indonesia (4.9%), Malaysia (4.3%), Lao People’s Democratic Republic (4.1%), Timor-Leste (3.5%), Thailand (3.2%) and Myanmar (2%).

However, this is below the Development Budget Coordination Committee’s (DBCC) 6.5-7.5% growth target for 2024.

The World Bank’s growth forecast for the Philippines is also higher than its 4.5% projection for East Asia and the Pacific.

The multilateral lender sees slower growth in the region due to the “anticipated deceleration in economic activity in China.”

Other risks to the growth outlook include geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that could lead to higher oil prices, dampened global trade, tightening financial conditions and climate-related disasters, it said.

“Extreme weather events, the frequency of which has increased in recent decades as a result of climate change, also pose a downside risk to the regional outlook,” it added.

In the Philippines, the government is preparing for the potential impact of the El Niño weather event this year.

The latest bulletin from the state weather bureau showed that El Niño will likely persist from March to May, when dry season crops are often harvested.

National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan earlier said El Niño would likely affect the agriculture sector and drive food prices higher, which could threaten the inflation downtrend.

On the other hand, the multilateral lender said resilient domestic demand could spur growth drivers in the East Asia and Pacific region.

“Modest inflation, and in many cases robust labor markets supported by buoyant service activity, are anticipated to sustain household spending,” it said.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will grow better this year than the WB’s prediction of 5.8%?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Ten early bird taxpayers of Muntinlupa City for 2024 recognized

January 15, 2024January 9, 2024carlocarrasco

Recently in the City of Muntinlupa, the City Government formally recognized the first ten early bird taxpayers who settled their dues when they had their respective business permits renewed this year (2024), according to a Manila Bulletin news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of the Manila Bulletin. Some parts in boldface…

The Muntinlupa City government recognized 10 early bird taxpayers who renewed their business permits for this year.

Mayor Ruffy Biazon led the recognition on Jan. 8 of the business owners who were first in line at the Business Permit Renewal Hub located at the Muntinlupa Sports Center in Barangay Tunasan under the supervision of the Business Permits and Licensing Office (BPLO), applauding them for avoiding the rush and the possibility of late penalties.

The first 10 early bird taxpayers are Mama Nene Store, Mini-Mini Store, Beecube Inc., Bob Garon & Vandervoort Consultancy Inc., Chaulameir Enterprises, Erchie Appliance Parts, Oost & Voort Inc., Russel Ramos T-shirt Services; People’s Choice Apartment, and Aurelio Alquiros Tailoring Shop.

Each of them received a certificate of recognition from the BPLO and a basket of groceries.

Business permit renewal in Muntinlupa is ongoing from Monday to Friday until Jan. 20 at the Muntinlupa Sports Center.

BPLO offers free daily shuttle service to and from the venue for business owners, with pickup and drop off at the Muntinlupa City hall.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? If you are a resident of Muntinlupa City who also manages a local business, do you find the business permit renewal process fast and efficient?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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For more South Metro Manila community news and developments, come back here soon. Also say NO to fake news, NO to irresponsible journalism, NO to misinformation, NO to plagiarists, NO to reckless publishers and NO to sinister propaganda when it comes to news and developments. For South Metro Manila community developments, member engagements, commerce and other relevant updates, join the growing South Metro Manila Facebook group at https://www.facebook.com/groups/342183059992673

Philippines unemployment rate falls to 3.6% (as of November 2023)

January 15, 2024January 14, 2024carlocarrasco

Based on the latest findings of the Philippine Statistic Authority (PSA), the national unemployment rate fell down to 3.6% as of November 2023, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

The country’s unemployment rate fell to its lowest level in November last year, while employment reached its highest since April 2005, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Tuesday.

At a briefing, National Statistician Dennis Mapa said results of the PSA’s latest Labor Force Survey (LFS) showed that unemployment rate further went down to 3.6 percent during the month, down from the 4.2 percent recorded in November 2022 and October 2023.

It was the lowest recorded unemployment rate since the PSA introduced a new methodology for measuring the LFS in 2005.

In terms of magnitude, the number of unemployed Filipinos was estimated at 1.83 million, down from 2.18 million in November 2022 and 2.09 million last October.

The Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), meanwhile, was registered at 65.9 percent or about 51.47 million Filipinos aged 15 and above who were either employed or unemployed.

The LFPR during the month was lower than the 67.5 percent recorded in November last year.

In a statement, the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) said the decline was mainly due to reduced participation of young people (34.4 percent from 40 percent) and women (55.4 percent from 57.8 percent) in the labor force, influenced by family responsibilities, schooling, and age-related factors.

The country’s employment rate was estimated at 96.4 percent, also the highest recorded since April 2005.

The number of employed Filipinos was estimated at 49.64 million.

Underemployed persons or those who expressed the desire to have additional hours of work in their current job or to have an additional job or to have a new job with longer hours of work was recorded at 5.6 million, lower than last year’s 7.16 million.

NEDA Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said there is a need to expand the digital economy, including the digitalization of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises and startups, to address the declining labor force and increase labor market gains in 2024 and beyond.

“Digitalization enables alternative work arrangements, particularly for the youth, women, and those in the creative sector. This will help address the declining labor force,” Balisacan said.

“We will take full advantage of the liberalization reforms intended to attract investments in the Philippines, especially in digital infrastructure. Upgrading our infrastructure will attract investments that generate high-quality jobs,” he added.

Balisacan said the government will further support a more productive, agile, and adaptive workforce by passing and implementing crucial regulatory reforms, such as the Apprenticeship Bill, Lifelong Learning Bill, and the Enterprise Productivity Act.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines has enough momentum to grow and open up new job opportunities for more Filipinos?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Finance Secretary Diokno says Philippine economic growth this year will be robust

January 11, 2024January 8, 2024carlocarrasco

The economy of the Philippines will continue with robust growth this year according to the recent statement by Finance Secretary Benjamin Diokno, as reported by the Philippine News Agency (PNA).

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

Philippine economic growth is expected to remain robust this year mainly driven by private consumption and the continued implementation of structural reforms, Finance Secretary Benjamin Diokno said on Monday.

“While multilateral organizations project a slower global outlook for 2024 at 2.9 percent, the Philippine economy is expected to improve, reinforcing its status as one of the fastest-growing economies in the region,” Diokno said in a statement.

The Philippine economy grew by 5.9 percent in the third quarter of 2023, bringing the year-to-date growth to 5.5 percent.

Diokno said that for the full year of 2023, growth is expected to settle close to the low end of the government’s 6 to 7-percent target.

For 2024, economic managers assume a growth rate of 6.5 percent to 7.5 percent.

“Amid the ongoing strong El Niño and geopolitical and trade tensions, the country’s growth is expected to be driven by strong private consumption, supported by the expected return of inflation within the target range, falling oil prices, robust public spending, greater investments lured by the country’s sound macroeconomic fundamentals, investment-grade credit rating, and the implementation of structural reforms, and increased demand for Philippine exports as supply chain bottlenecks ease,” he said.

Diokno said economic prospects will be even better with the alignment of policies between fiscal and monetary authorities, measures to bring down inflation, and greater coordination of all public sectors to implement programs.

He added multilateral organizations also expect the Philippines to be one of the fastest growing economies in 2024.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines has enough momentum to achieve growth of at least 6.5% this year?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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BIR imposes 1% withholding tax on online merchants with annual earnings of over P500,000

January 3, 2024December 30, 2023carlocarrasco

Those who engage with selling online here in the Philippines and earn over P500,000 annually will have a new normal to live with as the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) officially imposed the 1% withholding tax on online merchants that are found qualified, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article. Take note that BIR had been targeting online sellers previously and the Department of Finance (DOF) asserted that online sellers should be subject to the same tax obligations as traditional brick-and-mortar business owners for the sake of fairness.

In the year 2022, the digital economy of the Philippines contributed P2.08 trillion, equivalent to 9.4% of gross domestic product. Of this, e-commerce had the highest growth at 26.5%, with its share to the economy reaching 20% or P416.12 billion.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news article. Some parts in boldface…

The Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) has announced that online merchants with earnings amounting to more than PHP500,000 annually are now subject to a 1-percent withholding tax.

BIR Revenue Regulation 16-2023, issued last December 21, said the withholding tax will apply to one-half of the gross remittances by electronic marketplace operators and digital financial services providers to the sellers or merchants for the goods or services sold through their platform.

The BIR defines an electronic marketplace as a “digital service platform whose business is to connect online buyers/consumers with online sellers/merchants, facilitate and conclude the sales, process the payment of the products, goods or services through such digital platform, or facilitate the shipment of goods or provide logistic services and post-purchase support within such platforms.”

These include marketplaces for online shopping, food delivery platform, and platform for accommodation booking.

The BIR clarified, however, that the withholding tax will not be imposed if the annual total gross remittances to an online seller do not exceed PHP500,000.

The withholding tax shall not apply “if the cumulative gross remittances to an online seller/merchant in a taxable year has not yet exceeded PHP500,000,” the BIR said.

Sellers subject to a lower income tax rate pursuant to any existing law are also excluded.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the BIR made the right move? Do you think the imposition of the 1% withholding tax on online sellers (that made over P500,000 annually) will have a significant impact on e-commerce here in the Philippines? If you were planning to sell goods or services online, does the 1% withholding tax discourage you?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @HavenorFantasy as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines attracts 5 million foreign tourist arrivals, sets 2024 target at 7.7 million

December 18, 2023December 13, 2023carlocarrasco

With a few more weeks to go before 2023 finally comes to an end, the Department of Tourism (DOT) confirmed that the number of foreign tourist arrivals in the Philippines just surpassed the 5,000,000 mark and they raised the stakes even higher for 2024, according to a Malaya Business Insight news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Malaya news report. Some parts in boldface…

After breaching 5 million in tourist arrivals as of December 12, the Philippines hopes to attract 7.7 million tourists in 2024.

Christina Frasco, secretary of the Department of Tourism (DOT) in her accomplishment report yesterday, said the Philippines has exceeded its 4.8 million goal when it logged 5.06 million visitors as of yesterday.

These tourists contributed P440 billion in receipts to the economy or more than double than the P209 billion recorded last year.

“In 2024, we are more than optimistic that we will once again reach our targets as we have proven in the past two years. For next year, we’re targeting 7.7 million international arrivals. I understand that this is not yet pre-pandemic numbers of 2019 at over 8.2 million international arrivals, but what I can assure you is that we will push as hard as we can and fully activate our convergences with other government agencies to reach this target and bring us closer to pre- pandemic numbers even as we grapple with many forces beyond our control globally and locally,” Frasco said.

Frasco also disclosed the DOT has proposed P5 billion infusion for the construction of new tourism roads in addition to the construction of tourism roads for 2024.

Frasco said recovery rate on arrivals to pre-pandemic of Philippine tourism is at 65 percent as of November, faster than the 62 percent average rate in Asia-Pacific as of September.

She said in terms of international visitor receipts, Philippine recovery is at 95 percent of the P458 billion visitor receipts in 2019.

This is a 267 percent increase versus the same period last year with a little over 2.6 million visitor arrivals in 2022. Tourism created over 5.35 million jobs which means that for every 100 Filipinos, 11 are employed in tourism related jobs.

According to Frasco, the Philippines has already recovered nearly 80 percent of its pre-COVID international incoming seat capacity.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Now that the Philippines has recorded more than 5 million foreign tourist arrivals, do you think there is still a chance for the figure to reach 6 million by December 31, 2023? Do you think the 2024 target of 7.7 million foreign tourist arrivals is achievable?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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NEDA projects 2023 Philippine economic growth at 6%

December 13, 2023December 10, 2023carlocarrasco

As the 2023 is coming to an end, the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) expressed confidence that the economy of the Philippines will achieve 6% growth this year, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news article.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news report. Some parts in boldface…

The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) is positive the country will hit the low end of its economic growth target at 6 percent by the end of the year.

“For the year, ang expectation namin is we will hit the low end of the target. If not, close to it (our expectation is that we will hit the low end of the target. If not, close to it). The low end of the growth target is at 6 percent, so either a 6 or very close to that,” NEDA Undersecretary Rosemarie Edillon said at the Saturday News Forum in Quezon City.

The Philippine economy posted the strongest third-quarter growth of 5.9 percent among major Asian economies, bringing the gross domestic product (GDP) expansion for the first nine months of 2023 to 5.5 percent.

Vietnam recorded 5.3 percent, Indonesia and China 4.9 percent, and Malaysia 3.3 percent during the third quarter.

Looking at the Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) as one indicator, Edillon said she is optimistic the GDP forecast is achievable.

She also noted the October unemployment data, which fell to 4.2 percent from 4.5 percent during the same month last year.

“Nakita namin na maganda rin naman ang employment numbers natin at ‘yung PMI, nakita namin na mataas pa rin naman siya (We saw that the employment numbers and the PMI are high),” she said. “We are actually hopeful for the rest of the year but especially going forward.”

Edillon said they observed a rise in the number of jobs generated in accommodation establishments, restaurants, transportation, and the information technology – business process outsourcing fields.

She also pointed out the gradual recovery of sectors severely hit by the pandemic, especially the tourism industry, which already surpassed its targeted 4.8 million foreign visitors.

Before the pandemic, the tourism industry’s share in the country’s GDP was estimated at 12.7 percent.

Improved inflation

In the same forum, she took note of the improving inflation rate, which further eased to 4.1 percent in November from 4.9 percent in October.

Food inflation at the national level decelerated further to 5.8 percent in November 2023 from 7.1 percent the previous month.

“(M)agandang balita ito kasi, especially iyong mga food item na binabantayan natin — kunwari iyong pork meat, iyong sugar, iyong mga vegetables — bumaba po iyong presyo nitong mga ito (This is good news, especially with regard to the food items that we are monitoring – the prices of pork meat, sugar, and vegetable went down),” she said.

Edillon said the cost of rice still rose but this could be attributed to the slowdown in importation due to tightening supply in the world market.

“Iyong sa ibang mga bansa, nag-i-expect kasi sila ng impact ng El Niño. Pero ang tingin naman namin, dahil we think that they have been prepared for this so mukhang it will correct actually (Other countries are bracing for the impact of El Niño. But we think because they’re already prepared for it, it will be corrected eventually),” she said.

Still, she said she believes the price cap imposed by President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. in September contributed to the lower inflation rate.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Are you convinced that the Philippines will be able to achieve 5

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Philippine inflation eases to 4.1% in November 2023

December 11, 2023December 6, 2023carlocarrasco

Inflation here in the Philippines continued to drop and eventually landed at 4.1% for the month of November 2023 and there were several factors behind it, according to a Philippine News Agency (PNA) news report.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the PNA news report. Some parts in boldface…

The country’s headline inflation further eased to 4.1 percent in November this year, the lowest recorded since the 4 percent in March 2022, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said.

In a briefing on Tuesday, National Statistician Dennis Mapa said the headline inflation last month was significantly lower than the 8 percent recorded in November last year and the 4.9 percent seen in October this year.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile oil and food items, also decelerated to 4.7 percent from 5.3 percent in October.

PSA data shows the downtrend was primarily brought about by the lower year-on-year growth rate of the heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages at 5.7 percent in November 2023 from 7 percent in October 2023.

Food inflation slowed to 5.8 percent, the lowest recorded since the 5.2 percent in May 2022.

This is due to the deflation in vegetables (-2 percent from 11.9 percent) and lower inflation of fish, meat, sugar, bread and other cereals, and fruits.

Also contributing to the downtrend in the overall inflation in November was the deflation in transportation (-0.8 percent from 1 percent) and slower inflation in restaurant and accommodation services (5.6 percent from 6.3 percent).

The restaurants and accommodation services index with a slower inflation rate of 5.6 percent in November from 6.3 percent in the previous month also contributed to the downtrend of the overall inflation.

Year-to-date, headline inflation was at 6.2 percent while core inflation settled at 6.8 percent.

Inflation in the National Capital Region (NCR) also slowed to 4.3 percent from 4.9 percent in October. For areas outside NCR, headline inflation decelerated to 4.1 percent in November from 4.9 percent the previous month. Inflation for the bottom 30 percent households also eased to 4.9 percent from 5.3 percent.

In a separate statement, the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) attributed the drop in inflation to the timely implementation of strategies to stabilize food supply amid the anticipated domestic and external headwinds in the coming months.

“With the right interventions in place, including the proper and timely deployment of trade policy, we are confident that we can effectively manage inflation and prevent unnecessary upticks in prices of goods and commodities to safeguard the purchasing power of Filipino families, especially those from the most vulnerable sectors,” NEDA Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said.

Let me end this piece by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think inflation will ease further and go below 4% by January 2024? Does the easing of inflation make you more confident about your economic prospects for 2024?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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