Tag: corruption scandal

WR Advisory Group: Philippines Very Risky for Investors

WR Advisory Group: Philippines Very Risky for Investors

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Based on its research covering a wide range of economic factors, financial readings and the public’s perception of governance, the WR Advisory Group finds the Philippines very risky for investors, according to a news report by the Manila Bulletin.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Manila Bulletin report. Some parts in boldface…

Investing in the Philippines is expected to be “very risky” in the coming months, driven by economic uncertainties and growing political dissatisfaction with the Marcos administration, according to professional services firm WR Advisory Group.

Based on its inaugural Philippine Political and Country Outlook Report, WR Advisory Group assigned the country a score of 10.375 out of 25, placing it at an elevated risk level with a deteriorating outlook.

WR Advisory Group President and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Robin Michael Garcia said the score indicates that investing in the country carries heightened risk due to ongoing economic and political factors.

“You can invest, but just know that there are risks. So if you see a potential opportunity in this period, it’s going to be risky,” Garcia said in a media briefing on Thursday, Oct. 22.

Regarding the country’s economic outlook, he noted a strong possibility of stagflation, a scenario marked by simultaneous high inflation and elevated unemployment.

Garcia added that these risks are further compounded by national government debt, which reached ₱19.07 trillion at the end of July, equivalent to 66 percent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

Economic growth also slowed to 2.3 percent in the second quarter, while inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) dropped by more than 33 percent through May.

Garcia warned that stagflation is a real possibility, particularly if the government “does not pay enough attention to economic management and economic policy.”

“The more that we think about other things, the more that the attention is going everywhere, except for solving this potential scenario,” he stressed.

Much of that focus, according to Garcia, has shifted to political controversies, including the ongoing impeachment proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte.

While clarifying that he was not questioning the validity of the impeachment, he explained that the proceedings come at a time when Congress should be prioritizing legislative reforms to address the country’s economic challenges.

“At this time, there are a lot of economic issues. Firms care more about economic legislation and economic policy rather than mere politics,” Garcia said.

He identified politically sensitive sectors, including energy, telecommunications, mining, and banking, as the most vulnerable to these heightened risks.

The report also noted that President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s performance ratings continue to decline, while frequent turnover in his Cabinet poses additional stability risks for businesses.

“Senate confidence also deteriorated sharply, adding institutional strain to an already weak legislative and regulatory environment,” the report stated.

These factors are accompanied by a negative assessment of national conditions, with 68 percent of Filipinos saying that the Philippines is going in the wrong direction, according to the report.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the WR Advisory Group is correct with its analysis about the Philippines being very risky for investors? Are you convinced that foreign investors are avoiding the Philippines right now? Do you think the Philippines is going towards the wrong direction now?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

AMRO Slashes 2026 Philippines GDP Growth Forecast

AMRO Slashes 2026 Philippines GDP Growth Forecast

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The Philippines, which is currently the host of the ASEAN Summit and is also one of the economic weaklings of Southeast Asia, is predicted by ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) to have slower gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

THE Philippine economy may continue to grow below its potential through 2027 as persistent energy shocks and weak investment weigh on activity, the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) said.

In its latest ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook, AMRO slashed its Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) growth projections for this year to 3.3% from its July estimate of 4.1% and for 2027 to 4.6% from 5.5%.

Both forecasts are below the National Government’s growth targets of 3.5%-4.5% for 2026 and 5%-6% for 2027.

AMRO also trimmed its inflation forecast for this year to 5.6% from 5.7% previously but raised it for next year to 4.6% from 4.1% previously.

If realized, inflation will accelerate from the 1.7% clip last year and breach the central bank’s 3% target for two consecutive years.

At a press briefing on Monday, AMRO Chief Economist Dong He noted that the Middle East war-driven energy shock took a heavy toll on the Philippine economy, significantly slowing growth while fueling inflation.

“The Philippines is one of the economies that was hit harder by the energy shock,” he said. “As you recall, when the Middle East conflict took place, the government took very swift action and they introduced a national emergency. So that, I think, helped the country galvanize towards responses towards this big energy shock.”

“But of course, growth did slow down significantly and the inflation went up very quickly,” Mr. He added.

The AMRO chief economist also noted that the Philippine economy continues to be weighed down by an investment slump following the flood control corruption scandal which broke out last year.

“Now, the Philippines also have some domestic issues that they need to deal with,” Mr. He said. “Remember, there was this flood control-related issue and that significantly slowed down public investment.”

“So, the growth outlook is very dependent on how fast public investment and construction related activities can pick up,” he added.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think there really is not much the government can do to boost economic growth this year? What is your opinion about the way the current economic managers of the Philippines are handling economic matters? Would you be surprised to see the Philippine economy fall into a recession in the first half of 2028?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines 2025 GDP Growth Lands At 4.4%

Philippines 2025 GDP Growth Lands At 4.4%

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After much anticipation, the full gross domestic product (GDP) growth of the Philippines registered final pace of 4.4% for the whole year of 2025, according to a Manila Standard business news report.

For insight, the 4.4% 2025 GDP growth is even lower than what others anticipated (click here and here). It should be recalled that GDP growth in the 3rd and 4th quarters of last year showed clear signs of economic weakness. The said weakness is connected with the flood control corruption scandal that rocked the nation.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of Manila Standard. Some parts in boldface…

The Philippine economy expanded 4.4 percent in 2025 as a sharp slowdown in the final three months of the year dragged down the annual performance, government data showed on Thursday.

The gross domestic product grew 3.0 percent in the fourth quarter, marking the weakest quarterly expansion in five years. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said the industrial sector contracted by 0.9 percent during the period, while gross capital formation, a measure of investment, tumbled 10.9 percent.

Wholesale and retail trade, financial activities and public administration remained the primary drivers of growth during the October to December period.

Public administration and defense led the gains with a 7.9 percent increase, followed by financial and insurance activities at 5.6 percent and trade at 4.6 percent.

For the full year, the services sector led the economy with a 5.9-percent expansion, while agriculture, forestry and fishing grew 3.1 percent. The industrial sector recorded a modest 1.5 percent increase for all of 2025.

Consumer spending, which traditionally anchors the Philippine economy, rose 3.8 percent in the fourth quarter and 4.6 percent for the full year. Government spending saw a significant annual jump of 9.1 percent despite the year-end cooling.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will be able to bounce back strongly this year and achieve 5% growth later? Do you think the reforms being implemented by the national government will create positive economic results soon? Are you convinced that the flood control corruption scandal turned off a lot of foreign investors?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at  @HavenorFantasy as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco